Public Money Alerts

Tracking games where public betting is heavily lopsided on favorites. We examine what history says about fading the public in these situations.

The Over Is Getting the Money in Rio, and the Total Is Already 53.5

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Infographic on the Ravens-Cowboys total in Rio. The total opened at 52 at Borgata and was 53.5 at five of seven books Saturday, the highest of Week 3. Hard Rock had 82% of tickets and 92% of money on the Over. International games are Over 29-34 per Covers.

The Ravens Cowboys total opened at 52 at Borgata last Sunday night and 52.5 at DraftKings, according to the odds site VegasInsider and ESPN. By Saturday morning it was 53.5 at five of the seven sportsbooks VegasInsider tracks, for a game on a Rio de Janeiro field that the players’ union spent Friday worrying about … Read more

The Panthers Allowed 59 Points and Are Now Road Favorites

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Infographic on Panthers at Falcons Week 2 odds. Carolina allowed 59 points in Week 1 but moved from a 1.5-point underdog at the Sunday open to a 2.5-point favorite by Wednesday, with 86% of DraftKings bets on the Panthers.

Carolina allowed 59 points on Sunday, the most in franchise history, according to the Associated Press. Three days later, the Panthers are road favorites in Atlanta. BetMGM opened the Falcons at -1.5 on Sunday night, the betting news site VegasInsider reported, and by early Wednesday Carolina was laying 2.5 at most major books. That’s four … Read more

The Opener Sat on 3.5 All Summer, Then Paid to Step Onto 3 Focus keyphrase: Seahawks Patriots betting splits

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Infographic on the NFL kickoff game between the Patriots and Seahawks. DraftKings opened Seattle -3.5 in mid-May and moved to -3 at -118 on Monday, half a point in four months, with the total steady at 44.5 and four venues reporting the money four different ways.

DraftKings posted Seattle as a 3.5-point favorite over New England in mid-May and then left it alone. “There was absolutely no movement for months,” DraftKings oddsmaker Johnny Avello told FOX Sports on Tuesday. Monday it moved. Half a point, to Seahawks -3 at -118, with the Seahawks Patriots betting splits behind it pointing in four … Read more

Belichick Was a 3.5-Point Home Underdog Last Year. He Is Getting 7.5 in Dublin.

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Infographic comparing the North Carolina TCU spread one year apart. TCU were 3.5-point favorites at Kenan Stadium in 2025 and won 48-14, so UNC missed the number by 30.5. In Dublin on August 29 TCU lay 7.5 after opening at 6.5, with 92 percent of early tickets and 94 percent of early money.

TCU beat North Carolina 48-14 at Kenan Stadium on Labor Day night last September, spoiling Bill Belichick’s college coaching debut in front of a full house and ESPN’s entire pregame apparatus. The Horned Frogs were 3.5-point favorites that night, and they were the road team. Saturday the two programs open the 2026 season in Dublin, … Read more

Premier League Title Odds Show Three Clubs With More Tickets Than the Champion

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Infographic on the Premier League title odds at BetMGM as of August 19. Manchester United leads the ticket count at +800 and is the book's largest liability. Arsenal holds 35.1 percent of dollars at +150, more than double the next club. Each United dollar costs 5.33 times an Arsenal dollar.

The Premier League season starts tonight at the Emirates, where Arsenal are somewhere between -550 and -600 against a Coventry City side that last played top-flight football in 2001. Nothing surprising in that. The Premier League title odds sitting behind it are doing something stranger. Patrick Everson of VegasInsider, citing BetMGM’s book, reports that Manchester … Read more

The Public Took the Under in Canton and the Game Went 63

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Infographic on the 2026 Hall of Fame Game betting splits. The Under drew 74 percent of the money, Arizona 93 percent of spread dollars and 81 percent of moneyline cash. Carolina won 33-30 and the total finished on 63 against a 35.5 opener.

Carolina beat Arizona 33-30 in Canton on Thursday night, on a five-yard scramble by an undrafted rookie quarterback with the clock showing zero. The Hall of Fame Game opened the 2026 preseason with 63 combined points. The total opened at 35.5. This site previewed the game on Monday, arguing that the preseason trend lists circulating … Read more

Round of 64 Public Money Report: 86% on Chalk While Sharp Money Disagrees

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March Madness Round of 64 public money infographic. 86% of bets on top favorites. Louisville dropped from -7.5 to -4.5, Wisconsin from -12.5 to -10, Ohio State from -4.5 to -2.5. Five favorites have key injuries. 12-seeds have 35.6% win rate vs 5-seeds since 1985.

86% on Chalk, and the Lines Are Moving Backward The Round of 64 tips off today with 16 games on the schedule, and the betting public has made its preferences clear. Arizona, the West Region’s top seed, is attracting 86% of bets at a 30.5-point spread. Iowa State and Purdue are pulling similar one-sided action. … Read more

Super Bowl LX: 67% of Bets on Seattle, but Sharp Money Tells a Different Story

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Super Bowl LX public vs sharp money divergence. 67% of spread bets on Seahawks across DraftKings, Station, Circa. But 72% of moneyline dollars at Circa on Patriots. $1.1M and $2M seven-figure bets on New England. SB underdogs 5-0 ATS last 5, 9-2 when getting 3+ points since 2003. Line stuck at -4.5. 82.5% of ESPN experts pick Seattle.

Two-Thirds of the Public on Seattle. Sportsbooks Want the Patriots. Three days before Super Bowl LX, the betting public and the sharp money are telling two different stories. Across multiple sportsbooks, roughly 67% of spread bets are landing on the Seattle Seahawks. At DraftKings, that number comes with 74% of the spread dollars. Hard Rock … Read more

Conference Championship Public Money: 75%+ on Favorites

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Conference Championship public money infographic showing Patriots drawing 75% of bets as 4.5-point road favorites vs Broncos and Seahawks drawing 79% vs Rams as 2.5-point home favorites. Both underdogs have contrarian value with Broncos 9-1 ATS historically in Conference Championships.

The Public Has Picked Its Sides Conference Championship Sunday arrives with the betting public lining up behind the favorites. In the AFC, 75% of spread bets are backing the New England Patriots as 4.5-point road favorites at Denver. In the NFC, nearly 79% of bettors are riding the Seattle Seahawks at -2.5 against the Los … Read more

Championship Eve: Public Money Loading on Favorites

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Infographic showing Conference Championship betting splits. AFC: Patriots -5.5 at Broncos after 6.5-point line movement from Nix injury. NFC: 72% of bets on Seahawks -2.5 vs Rams, who are 12-4 ATS in last 16 H2H matchups. Both underdogs carry contrarian value.

The Public Has Spoken Tomorrow’s Conference Championship games have drawn clear battle lines in the betting market. In the AFC, the New England Patriots are road favorites of 5.5 points at Denver. In the NFC, 72% of bets placed at BetMGM have backed the Seattle Seahawks to cover against the Los Angeles Rams. Both favorites … Read more