Analysis of major underdog wins and what the betting lines showed. We break down the spreads, moneylines, and public betting trends behind the biggest upsets in sports.
Dallas had the ball at the Tampa Bay 24 on Thursday night, down eight with less than two minutes to play. Dak Prescott’s pass went off tight end Jake Ferguson’s hands, Alex Anzalone caught the carom, and Tampa Bay won 24-16 as an underdog of about 8.5 points. It took 347 days to see the … Read more
New England lost 35-6 in Jacksonville on September 27. Seven days later the Patriots were getting 7 points at Buffalo, which was 3-0, and Drake Maye threw a 23-yard touchdown pass to Efton Chism with under two minutes left to win 29-26. It was the longest shot among seven NFL Week 4 upsets. Casino.org, a … Read more
Andre Szmyt’s 56-yard field goal with 10 seconds left gave Cleveland a 27-24 win over Pittsburgh on Thursday night. The Browns Steelers odds had Pittsburgh as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 38.5, per ESPN’s DraftKings listing. Cleveland has now been priced as the worse team in all four of its games this … Read more
Houston won the AL West at 81-81, the worst record a division winner has ever finished with in a full season, according to ESPN and CBS Sports. The White Sox went 84-78 and finished a game behind Cleveland in the AL Central. Going into the White Sox Astros Wild Card series, the team with three … Read more
Green Bay was a 6.5-point favorite over Atlanta in DraftKings’ September 17 lookahead and 7 on Monday morning, which is where Tuesday’s baseline recorded it. By kickoff the Falcons Packers odds had come all the way back to 4.5 at DraftKings and 5.5 at FanDuel, BetMGM and Caesars. Atlanta won 35-14 at Lambeau Field. The … Read more
Yesterday we flagged LSU at Ole Miss because Borgata sportsbook director Tom Gable had called it the most heavily bet game on the Saturday slate, with LSU money pushing the road favorite to 3. The LSU Ole Miss odds sat at 3 with a 58.5 total in the last listings before kickoff, at Yahoo Sports, … Read more
The Las Vegas book Circa Sports opened Texas Tech as a 10-point favorite over Houston and the number was down to 8.5 by Sunday afternoon, which the betting news site VegasInsider read as early money on the underdog. By Friday night the Houston Texas Tech odds sat at 7.5 at most books. Houston lost 28-26 … Read more
Seattle beat New England 13-10 on Wednesday night. The margin was three points, and of all the NFL Week 1 spreads on the board, that one was sitting right on the number. At the Seahawks -3 that DraftKings moved to on Monday, a three-point win is a push and every stake goes back. At the … Read more
Three FCS teams beat FBS teams on Saturday. Tarleton State won 20-13 at Bowling Green, The Citadel won 43-41 at Charlotte in triple overtime, and Idaho State won 29-17 at Utah State. NCAA.com counted four such wins across all of last season, spread over three separate dates, so three FCS over FBS upsets in one … Read more
UMass went 0-12 last season. The Minutemen hadn’t beaten an FBS opponent since October 2023, and on Thursday night they walked into Piscataway and beat Rutgers 37-21 as roughly a four-touchdown underdog. Two hours later Colorado won at Georgia Tech on a blocked field goal as time expired. College football underdogs went 2-0 outright to … Read more