After the Chalkiest Tournament in History, the Public Will Overbet Favorites Again. The Data Disagrees.

Infographic comparing 2025 chalkiest NCAA Tournament in history with first-round underdog ATS data since 2015 showing 149-133-3 record and 12-seeds winning 35.6% outright since 1985. 2026 No. 1 seeds Duke, Arizona, Michigan, Florida listed.

The Chalkiest Tournament Ever Just Ended. The Public Learned the Wrong Lesson. The 2025 NCAA Tournament produced something that had happened only once before in tournament history: all four No. 1 seeds reached the Final Four. Every team seeded 1 through 4 survived the first round without a loss. The entire Sweet 16 consisted of … Read more