Tampa Bay Won by Eight Getting 8.5, and the Streak Ends at 13 or 12

Infographic on Tampa Bay beating Dallas 24-16 on Thursday night as an 8.5-point underdog. The losing streak against the spread ends at 13 or 12, depending on whose Green Bay number counts.

Dallas had the ball at the Tampa Bay 24 on Thursday night, down eight with less than two minutes to play. Dak Prescott’s pass went off tight end Jake Ferguson’s hands, Alex Anzalone caught the carom, and Tampa Bay won 24-16 as an underdog of about 8.5 points. It took 347 days to see the … Read more

Tampa Bay Has Lost 13 Straight Against the Spread, or 12 and a Push

Infographic on Tampa Bay's streak against the spread. With Green Bay laying 2.5 in the 17-14 game it is 13 straight losses. At 3 it is 12 and a push. Sixty seasons of coin flips would produce 2 or 3 streaks of 12 or more.

The Associated Press preview of tonight’s game in Arlington lists Tampa Bay at 0-4 against the spread and says the team is on a 13-game losing streak against the number, the longest of the Super Bowl era. Pro-Football-Reference’s lines page for the same team reads 0-3-1. Both describe the Buccaneers against the spread through four … Read more

NBA Finals Game 3: Spurs Cover as Road Underdogs Again in 115-111 Win

Scoreboard graphic for NBA Finals Game 3 showing San Antonio Spurs 115, New York Knicks 111 at Madison Square Garden. The Spurs covered as a 1.5-point road underdog. Wembanyama posted 32 points, 8 rebounds, 6 assists, 3 blocks. Favorites are 0-3 and the Knicks lead the series 2-1.

NBA Finals Game 3 broke the only way this series seems to know how. The San Antonio Spurs walked into a roaring Madison Square Garden on Monday night, spotted New York a seven-point halftime lead, and walked out with a 115-111 win. The Knicks still lead 2-1. For anyone reading betting markets, the pattern is … Read more

Michigan’s Number One Target: Why the AP Poll’s Top Spot Is a Contrarian Bettor’s Dream

Infographic comparing Michigan's 24-1 overall record vs 13-12 ATS record as new AP #1. Tonight at #7 Purdue as 1.5-point road favorite. Purdue 11-2 at home. Arizona went 23-0 as #1 before back-to-back losses.

The Biggest Target in College Basketball Michigan is the new number one team in the country. The Wolverines (24-1) claimed 60 of 61 first-place votes in Monday’s AP Poll, ending Arizona’s nine-week reign at the top. It’s their first time at number one since January 2013, when that Trey Burke-led squad made it all the … Read more

Bills Chasing Patriots in AFC East: Why Public Perception Creates Contrarian Value

Bills betting value infographic showing AFC East standings and ATS record

Bills AFC East betting value has emerged as the Patriots surge to first place. The Buffalo Bills sit at 10-4, chasing New England in one of the most competitive division races in years. Josh Allen just won MVP in February and signed a $330 million extension in March. The public loves backing the reigning league … Read more