Ten of 93 Teams Have Come Back From 0-2, About What Three Coin Flips Would Produce

Infographic on teams down 0-2 in a best-of-five. Ten of 93 came back, 10.8%, against 12.5% for three straight coin flips. The market gives the Guardians about 15% and the Yankees about 16%. The last team to do it was the 2017 Yankees.

Cleveland lost twice at Progressive Field, 3-0 on Saturday and 4-3 on Monday, to a White Sox team that finished a game behind it in the AL Central. The Yankees made four errors on Monday night in St. Petersburg and lost 5-2 to the Rays. Both teams are down two games to none in a … Read more

The Market Made an 81-81 Team the Favorite, and the White Sox Swept

Infographic on the AL Wild Card Series. The 81-81 Astros opened at -145 to advance against the 84-78 White Sox at +125. Chicago swept, 6-3 and 7-3 in Houston, its first playoff series win since 2005.

Houston won the AL West at 81-81, the worst record a division winner has ever finished with in a full season, according to ESPN and CBS Sports. The White Sox went 84-78 and finished a game behind Cleveland in the AL Central. Going into the White Sox Astros Wild Card series, the team with three … Read more

A Losing Record Might Win the AL West

Infographic on the 2026 AL West race. Houston and Texas are tied at 78-79 with five games left and Houston holds the tiebreaker at 9-4. Three wins in five gets either team to 81-81. No division winner has ever finished under .500.

Houston and Texas both sit at 78-79 with five games left, which means one of them will win the American League West and host a playoff series while owning a losing record, unless one of them wins at least three of its last five. The AL West odds have swung from one team to the … Read more

What the White Sox Win Total Says About Pricing Bad Teams

Infographic comparing 2026 MLB preseason win totals with records on July 30. Chicago White Sox opened at 67.5 wins and sit 56-51, first in the AL Central with 55 games left. New York Mets opened at 90.5 and sit 46-63. In 2025 the Rockies opened at 59.5 and finished 43-119.

Back in February, FanDuel posted the Chicago White Sox win total for 2026 at 67.5. Sportsbook Review logged the same figure at BetMGM a few weeks later, with DraftKings sitting a game lower at 66.5. Nobody objected much. Chicago had lost 101 games in 2023, 121 in 2024 and 102 in 2025, and Baseball-Reference lists … Read more