On Tuesday this site went through the sixteen NFL preseason Week 1 lines and flagged two that had moved hard on nothing but a coach answering questions. Nine of those games are now played. Every side the market moved toward before kickoff failed to cover, three of the four lost outright, and NFL preseason underdogs … Read more
The full slate of NFL preseason lines is posted, and the board looks like what a market puts out when it has almost nothing to price. Eleven of the sixteen games opened at a point and a half. Six road teams are favored. Totals sit between 36.5 and 40.5, averaging 38 across the slate, and … Read more
Denver played thirteen games last season decided by eight points or fewer. They won eleven of them. That ties the NFL single-season record for one-score wins, a mark the 2022 Vikings and the 2024 Chiefs reached first. The 2026 NFL win totals now have the Broncos at 9.5 games, four and a half wins below … Read more
A Historic Line Movement When Bo Nix fractured his ankle on the second-to-last play of Denver’s overtime victory against Buffalo, the betting market reacted swiftly. The Broncos went from 1.5-point favorites on lookahead lines to 5.5-point underdogs in a matter of hours. That 7-point swing represents one of the most dramatic injury-related line movements in … Read more
The Broncos Are a Home Underdog. They’re Also the Number One Seed. The Denver Broncos finished the 2025 season 14-3 and earned the AFC’s top seed for the first time since their Super Bowl 50 run. They have home-field advantage throughout the playoffs and a first-round bye. On Saturday, they’ll host the Buffalo Bills in … Read more