Elite Eight Saturday: Sweet 16 Underdogs Went 5-3 ATS, and Tonight’s Contrarian Cases for Iowa and Purdue

Elite Eight Saturday preview infographic showing Sweet 16 underdogs finished 5-3 ATS. South Regional Final: Iowa +7.5 vs Illinois at 6:09 PM, Iowa's first Elite Eight since 1987. West Regional Final: Purdue +6.5 vs Arizona at 8:49 PM, Arizona hasn't reached Final Four since 2001.

Sweet 16 Final Tally: Underdogs 5-3 ATS Before looking ahead, the full Sweet 16 deserves its final accounting. Over two nights of regional semifinal action, underdogs covered the spread in five of eight games. Two won outright. The public kept loading up on favorites, and the contrarian side kept cashing. Thursday delivered a 3-1 underdog … Read more

Sweet 16 Thursday: Underdogs Go 3-1 ATS as Illinois Stuns Houston, Iowa Reaches Elite Eight

Sweet 16 Thursday recap infographic showing underdogs 3-1 ATS. Illinois +2.5 beat Houston 65-55, Iowa +1.5 beat Nebraska 77-71, Texas +7.5 covered losing 77-79, Arkansas +7.5 lost 88-109. Houston had 78% of public bets. Iowa trailed 81% of the game.

Thursday’s Scoreboard: Underdogs Own the Sweet 16 Four Sweet 16 games tipped off Thursday night. Three of the four underdogs covered the spread, and two won outright. The betting public took another hit in a tournament that keeps rewarding the contrarian side of the ledger. Here’s what happened, and why public perception keeps getting it … Read more

Sweet 16 Thursday: The Public Switched to Underdogs. That Changes the Contrarian Calculus.

Infographic showing Sweet 16 Thursday public betting splits. Arkansas drawing 88% of handle and 75% of bets as 8.5-point underdog vs Arizona. Texas drawing 54% of bets and 62% of money vs Purdue. After Iowa upset Florida 73-72, public shifted to backing underdogs in 3 of 4 Thursday games.

After Florida Fell, the Public Switched Sides When No. 9 Iowa knocked off defending champion and No. 1 seed Florida 73-72 on Sunday, something shifted in the betting market. Alvaro Folgueiras’ go-ahead three-pointer with 4.5 seconds left didn’t just end Florida’s title defense. It rewired public sentiment heading into the Sweet 16. For the first … Read more