Saturday Belonged to the Favorites The public loaded up on road underdogs. The favorites responded with authority. Saturday’s divisional round saw both home teams cover their spreads decisively, continuing a pattern that contrarian bettors should study heading into Sunday. Denver’s overtime thriller against Buffalo ended 33-30, covering the Broncos’ slim 1.5-point spread. Seattle’s demolition of … Read more
The Broncos Are a Home Underdog. They’re Also the Number One Seed. The Denver Broncos finished the 2025 season 14-3 and earned the AFC’s top seed for the first time since their Super Bowl 50 run. They have home-field advantage throughout the playoffs and a first-round bye. On Saturday, they’ll host the Buffalo Bills in … Read more
Wild Card Weekend Delivers Drama and Upsets Five games into Wild Card Weekend, the pattern is clear: close games, late drama, and underdogs making noise. Heading into Monday’s finale between the Texans and Steelers, underdogs are 3-2 against the spread with two outright wins. Saturday belonged to the home underdogs, who went 2-0 ATS with … Read more
The Jaguars Are Home Underdogs Despite an 8-Game Winning Streak The Jacksonville Jaguars haven’t lost since early November. They’ve won eight straight games. They’ve covered the spread in all eight of those games. They finished the regular season 12-4-1 against the spread, the best mark in franchise history. And they’re underdogs at home in the … Read more
Week 15 upset recap: two massive underdogs cashed tickets for contrarian bettors. The Buffalo Bills defeated the Detroit Lions 48-42 as +2.5 road underdogs, snapping Detroit’s 11-game winning streak. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers demolished the Los Angeles Chargers 40-17 as +3 road dogs. When public money floods toward favorites, these results remind us why fading … Read more
Bills AFC East betting value has emerged as the Patriots surge to first place. The Buffalo Bills sit at 10-4, chasing New England in one of the most competitive division races in years. Josh Allen just won MVP in February and signed a $330 million extension in March. The public loves backing the reigning league … Read more