market efficiency

LSU Won by 41 and Its Title Price Got Longer

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Infographic on college football title odds after Week 1. LSU beat Clemson 51-10 and its BetMGM championship price moved from +1500 to +1600, or 6.25 percent implied down to 5.88. Miami shortened from +1100 to +900 and Oregon drifted from +800 to +1000.

LSU beat Clemson 51-10 on Saturday night in Baton Rouge, and nothing else in Week 1 came close to that margin. The Tigers went in ranked 11th by the AP and 13th by the coaches. Both polls come out this afternoon, and every projection I’ve seen has LSU climbing into the top ten. The college … Read more

The Packers Vikings Line Moved Before the News That Explains It Focus keyphrase: Packers Vikings line movement

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Infographic showing the Packers at Vikings Week 1 spread moving from Green Bay -1.5 in May to Green Bay +1.5 on September 2, a 3-point swing. Timeline: Murray named QB1 Aug 11, line already at GB +1.5 Aug 27, Parsons and Jacobs ruled out Aug 30.

Back in May, sportsbooks made Green Bay a 1.5-point favorite on the road at Minnesota for the Week 1 opener. The same game now sits at Vikings -1.5. Three points, one direction, and the Packers Vikings line movement has been explained three separate ways by three separate outlets. Only one of those explanations can be … Read more