Tampa Bay Won by Eight Getting 8.5, and the Streak Ends at 13 or 12

Infographic on Tampa Bay beating Dallas 24-16 on Thursday night as an 8.5-point underdog. The losing streak against the spread ends at 13 or 12, depending on whose Green Bay number counts.

Dallas had the ball at the Tampa Bay 24 on Thursday night, down eight with less than two minutes to play. Dak Prescott’s pass went off tight end Jake Ferguson’s hands, Alex Anzalone caught the carom, and Tampa Bay won 24-16 as an underdog of about 8.5 points. It took 347 days to see the … Read more

Seven Underdogs Won in Week 4, and the Closing Prices Expected Almost Six

Infographic on NFL Week 4 underdogs. Seven of 16 won outright, while closing moneylines expected 5.66. The longest shot to win was the Patriots at +7, about a 26% chance. Five of the seven winners were getting 3 points or less.

New England lost 35-6 in Jacksonville on September 27. Seven days later the Patriots were getting 7 points at Buffalo, which was 3-0, and Drake Maye threw a 23-yard touchdown pass to Efton Chism with under two minutes left to win 29-26. It was the longest shot among seven NFL Week 4 upsets. Casino.org, a … Read more

LSU Is a 78 Percent Favorite at One Book and 83 Percent at Another Focus keyphrase: Clemson LSU odds

Infographic on the Clemson LSU odds for Week 1, 2026. LSU's moneyline ran from -355 at DraftKings to -480 at Rivers Casino on one board Tuesday, or 78.0 to 82.8 percent implied. Published spread splits disagree: VegasInsider had 54 percent of tickets on LSU, SportsBettingDime 54 percent on Clemson.

Clemson plays at LSU on Saturday night, and depending on where you looked this week, the Clemson LSU odds made the home side anywhere from a 78 percent favorite to an 83 percent favorite. Same game. LSU’s moneyline has appeared in print at -355, -376, -380, -405, -425, -450 and -480 over the past four … Read more

Premier League Title Odds Show Three Clubs With More Tickets Than the Champion

Infographic on the Premier League title odds at BetMGM as of August 19. Manchester United leads the ticket count at +800 and is the book's largest liability. Arsenal holds 35.1 percent of dollars at +150, more than double the next club. Each United dollar costs 5.33 times an Arsenal dollar.

The Premier League season starts tonight at the Emirates, where Arsenal are somewhere between -550 and -600 against a Coventry City side that last played top-flight football in 2001. Nothing surprising in that. The Premier League title odds sitting behind it are doing something stranger. Patrick Everson of VegasInsider, citing BetMGM’s book, reports that Manchester … Read more

Preseason Coaches Poll vs the Betting Market Ahead of the 2026 Season

Infographic comparing the 2025 preseason coaches poll with final results. No. 1 Texas finished 10-3 and missed the playoff, No. 3 Penn State went 3-3 and fired its coach, No. 6 Clemson went 7-6, and No. 19 Indiana went 16-0 and won the title at +10000.

The 2026 preseason coaches poll landed Tuesday. Ohio State sits on top with 38 of 72 first-place votes, and Indiana, which finished 16-0 and won the national championship in January, comes in sixth. Before that ordering gets read as a forecast, last August’s ballot is the more instructive document. What the Preseason Coaches Poll Said … Read more

Nobody Is Betting the Best Team in the American League

Comparison graphic showing the Tampa Bay Rays opened the 2026 season at +5000 to win the World Series and enter August 2 at 65-45, the best record in the American League. Their price is now +1200 to +1700, but they rank 13th in tickets and 12th in handle at BetMGM.

The trade deadline closes Monday at 6 p.m. Eastern, and Tampa Bay goes into Sunday holding the best record in the American League at 65-45. Rays World Series odds have come in from 50-1 to somewhere near 16-1 since Opening Day. The money has not followed. On BetMGM’s championship board in the last week of … Read more

Miami Lost 12 Straight and the Market Barely Blinked

Infographic comparing two July 2026 MLB streaks. Boston won 15 in a row, moving from 37-48 to 52-48. Miami lost 12 in a row, sliding from 52-42 to 54-54. Miami was still a -130 home favorite in game 12 of the skid and ended it at +162, winning 8-7.

Two baseball teams spent July doing opposite things as hard as they could. Boston won fifteen straight, matching a franchise record set in 1946, when Ted Williams was putting together an MVP season. Miami lost twelve, a first for the Marlins. This morning Boston is 55-51 and Miami 54-54. One win and three losses apart. … Read more

Super Bowl LX: Seahawks Cover -4.5, Snap Five-Year Underdog ATS Streak

Super Bowl LX result infographic showing Seahawks 29, Patriots 13. Seattle covered -4.5 spread, winning by 16. Five-year Super Bowl underdog ATS cover streak snapped. Public backed Seahawks at 60-70%. SB underdogs now 17-8 ATS since 2001.

The Streak Is Over Super Bowl underdogs had covered five straight. Four of the last five won outright. The trend was so dominant that sharp bettors at Circa put 72% of their moneyline dollars on the Patriots, and two seven-figure wagers landed on New England before kickoff. None of it mattered. The Seattle Seahawks dismantled … Read more

Super Bowl LX: 67% of Bets on Seattle, but Sharp Money Tells a Different Story

Super Bowl LX public vs sharp money divergence. 67% of spread bets on Seahawks across DraftKings, Station, Circa. But 72% of moneyline dollars at Circa on Patriots. $1.1M and $2M seven-figure bets on New England. SB underdogs 5-0 ATS last 5, 9-2 when getting 3+ points since 2003. Line stuck at -4.5. 82.5% of ESPN experts pick Seattle.

Two-Thirds of the Public on Seattle. Sportsbooks Want the Patriots. Three days before Super Bowl LX, the betting public and the sharp money are telling two different stories. Across multiple sportsbooks, roughly 67% of spread bets are landing on the Seattle Seahawks. At DraftKings, that number comes with 74% of the spread dollars. Hard Rock … Read more

Super Bowl LX: Public Bets Seahawks, But Underdogs Have Covered Five Straight

Infographic showing Super Bowl LX public betting trends. Public bets on Seahawks -4.5, but underdogs have covered 5 straight Super Bowls. Since 2007, underdogs are 13-5 ATS. Patriots are first-time underdogs since 2002.

The Public Has Made Its Choice Nine days before Super Bowl LX, the betting public has spoken. And once again, they’re siding with the favorite. According to Caesars Sports director of football trading Joey Feazel, public money is flowing toward the Seattle Seahawks on the spread, while sharp bettors have taken a different approach entirely. … Read more