TCU

The Line Moved Toward TCU for Four Months. TCU Lost by Five.

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Infographic on the North Carolina TCU upset in Dublin on August 29, 2026. North Carolina won 15-10 as an underdog. TCU opened at 6.5 in May, sat at 7.5 on August 19 and closed between 8.5 and 9.5. Game-day moneyline splits at one book showed 84 percent of tickets and 62 percent of dollars on TCU.

Carolina 15, TCU 10. The North Carolina TCU upset was the first Bowl Subdivision result of the 2026 season, and it ran against four months of line movement pointing the other way. TCU opened at 6.5 back in May, and by Saturday morning in Dublin the Horned Frogs were laying somewhere between 8.5 and 9.5 … Read more

Belichick Was a 3.5-Point Home Underdog Last Year. He Is Getting 7.5 in Dublin.

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Infographic comparing the North Carolina TCU spread one year apart. TCU were 3.5-point favorites at Kenan Stadium in 2025 and won 48-14, so UNC missed the number by 30.5. In Dublin on August 29 TCU lay 7.5 after opening at 6.5, with 92 percent of early tickets and 94 percent of early money.

TCU beat North Carolina 48-14 at Kenan Stadium on Labor Day night last September, spoiling Bill Belichick’s college coaching debut in front of a full house and ESPN’s entire pregame apparatus. The Horned Frogs were 3.5-point favorites that night, and they were the road team. Saturday the two programs open the 2026 season in Dublin, … Read more