Djokovic Was a Shorter Price Against Navone Than He Was Against Tirante

Infographic on the Navone Djokovic upset at the 2026 US Open. Mariano Navone won 7-6(5), 5-7, 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 in four hours and 36 minutes. Djokovic had been 19-0 in US Open first rounds. With the vig stripped, the market moved from 76 percent on him in Cincinnati to 80 to 82 percent in New York.

Mariano Navone beat Novak Djokovic 7-6(5), 5-7, 4-6, 6-2, 6-1 on Sunday night at Arthur Ashe Stadium. The Navone Djokovic upset ran four hours and 36 minutes, which the Associated Press called the longest opening match of any major in Djokovic’s career. Djokovic had been 19-0 in US Open first rounds. He led two sets … Read more

Golden Tempo 23-1: Kentucky Derby Favorite Drought Hits Eight Years

Golden Tempo wins 152nd Kentucky Derby at 23-1 from last place, paying $48.24 on a $2 bet. Final time 2:02.27. Renegade 2nd at 5-1, Ocelli 70-1 third, Chief Wallabee 7-1 fourth. $1 trifecta paid $11,250.78. Cherie DeVaux became first female trainer to win the Derby. Favorite drought now eight years.

Golden Tempo went off at 23-1, sat dead last for three-quarters of a mile, and won the Kentucky Derby. Saturday’s race was a contrarian’s textbook from gate to wire, and the favorite drought now sits at eight years. The 152nd Run for the Roses ended in 2:02.27 with Cherie DeVaux becoming the first female trainer … Read more

Olympic Hockey Underdogs Day 1: Slovakia Stuns Finland, Italy Hangs Tough Against Sweden

Olympic hockey Day 1 results showing Slovakia 4-1 upset over Finland and Sweden 5-2 over Italy. Slafkovsky scored 2 goals with 1 assist. Hlavaj made 39 saves on 40 shots. Slovakia was +15000 to win gold. Italy had zero NHL players.

Slovakia 4, Finland 1: The Tournament’s First Upset The men’s hockey tournament at the 2026 Winter Olympics opened Wednesday in Milan with a result that should look familiar to anyone who follows contrarian betting philosophy. Slovakia, listed at +15000 to win gold on FanDuel before the tournament, dismantled defending Olympic champion Finland 4-1 in the … Read more

Falcons upset Rams 27-24 on Monday Night Football as 7-point underdogs, capping Week 17’s historic underdog run

Falcons beat Rams 27-24 as 7-point underdogs on MNF. Bijan Robinson 229 yards, 93-yd TD. Week 17 underdogs went 6-0 outright.

Seven-Point Underdogs Win Outright The Atlanta Falcons entered Monday Night Football with nothing to play for. Eliminated from the playoffs weeks ago. A 6-9 record. Playing a Rams team that had already clinched a postseason berth and was jockeying for seeding. The betting public saw a mismatch. By game time, over 80% of spread bets … Read more

Week 17 Underdogs Dominate – Five Straight Outright Wins

week-17-underdog-dominance-infographic

Five Underdogs, Five Outright Winners Week 17 underdogs didn’t just cover. They dominated. From Saturday through Sunday, five underdogs won outright, and the margins weren’t close. Here’s what happened: Texans +1.5 at Chargers: Won 20-16. Houston led 14-0 in the first quarter and never trailed. C.J. Stroud threw two touchdown passes in the opening frame … Read more

The Jaguars Were on a Five-Game Cover Streak. The Market Still Didn’t Believe.

jaguars-broncos-upset-market-perception

Jacksonville entered Week 16 with the longest active cover streak in the NFL at 5-0 ATS. They had won five straight games outright, outscoring opponents 171-72 during that stretch. Trevor Lawrence was playing the best football of his career with 12 touchdowns and zero interceptions over his last four games. The Jaguars were still 3.5-point … Read more

NFL Week 16 Underdog Results: Steelers, Titans, Panthers Cash

nfl-week-16-underdog-results-infographic

NFL Week 16 Underdog Results: Steelers, Titans, Panthers Cash NFL Week 16 underdog betting delivered three notable winners on Sunday, headlined by the Steelers’ outright upset of the Lions in Detroit. Contrarian bettors who backed underdogs against public-heavy favorites found value across the board. Here’s a breakdown of the underdog results that mattered most. Steelers … Read more

NFL Week 13: Seven Underdogs Win Outright as Favorites Get Crushed

week-13-underdogs-score

NFL Week 13 was a bloodbath for favorites. Underdogs went 10-5 against the spread, with seven winning outright. Moreover, the carnage started on Thanksgiving and didn’t stop until Monday night. For bettors who follow fade the public principles, this was the kind of week that makes the strategy worth the grind. Public money piled onto … Read more