variance regression

Thunder Cover -5.5 in 127-114 Game 5 Win: OKC Takes 3-2 Lead, One Win From Finals

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Infographic showing Oklahoma City Thunder beat the San Antonio Spurs 127-114 in Game 5 of the 2026 Western Conference Finals to take a 3-2 series lead. Thunder covered as 5.5-point home favorites. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 32 points. Alex Caruso added 22 off the bench on 4-of-8 from three. Stephon Castle and Julian Champagnie scored 24 and 22 for the Spurs. Oklahoma City shot 14-of-32 from three (43.8%), a sharp reversal from Game 4's 18.2%. Victor Wembanyama scored 20 points on 4-of-15 shooting with 0-of-5 from three. Teams that win Game 5 of a 2-2 series go on to win the series 81.8% of the time.

Oklahoma City beat San Antonio 127-114 in Game 5 on Tuesday night, covered as 5.5-point home favorites, and took a 3-2 lead in the Western Conference Finals with one win to go. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 32. Alex Caruso went 4-of-8 from three for 22 off the bench. Jared McCain, starting his first playoff game ever, … Read more

Spurs Crush Thunder 103-82, Cover -2.5: Wembanyama 33 Evens WCF at 2-2

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Infographic showing San Antonio Spurs beat the Oklahoma City Thunder 103-82 in Game 4 of the 2026 Western Conference Finals to even the series at 2-2. Spurs covered as 2.5-point home favorites by 21 points. Victor Wembanyama scored 33 points with 8 rebounds, 5 assists, and 3 blocks. Oklahoma City shot 6 of 33 from three (18.2%), a dramatic drop from 44.7% in Game 3. The bench scoring reversed from OKC 76-23 in Game 3 to OKC 34, Spurs 30 in Game 4. OKC's 82 points was the second-lowest postseason total in franchise history.

The Spurs beat the Thunder 103-82 in Game 4 on Sunday night, covered as 2.5-point home favorites, and evened the Western Conference Finals at 2-2. Victor Wembanyama scored 33 points on 11-of-22 shooting, grabbed 8 rebounds, dished 5 assists, and blocked 3 shots. Oklahoma City scored 82 points. That was the second-lowest postseason total in … Read more