On the night of August 1, Los Angeles sent three prospects to Detroit for Tarik Skubal, and DraftKings cut the Dodgers World Series odds from +190 to +150 before anyone had seen him throw a pitch in the uniform. Five and a half points of implied probability, bought in a few hours. We looked at … Read more
On Saturday we asked whether a deadline acquisition moves a team’s probability as far as it moves the price. Skubal trade odds have answered, and the answer arrived early, because Los Angeles landed Tarik Skubal that same night rather than waiting for Monday’s six o’clock cutoff. Detroit sent the back-to-back American League Cy Young winner … Read more
The trade deadline closes Monday at 6 p.m. Eastern, and Tampa Bay goes into Sunday holding the best record in the American League at 65-45. Rays World Series odds have come in from 50-1 to somewhere near 16-1 since Opening Day. The money has not followed. On BetMGM’s championship board in the last week of … Read more
The trade deadline closes Monday at 6 p.m. Eastern. Whoever lands Tarik Skubal or Freddy Peralta will watch their World Series price shorten inside the hour, and plenty of people will read that move as information about October. The Brewers Peralta trade from January is worth sitting with first. That deal let the market put … Read more