Week 16 Contrarian Betting Preview: Finding Value in Public Overreaction

Week 16 contrarian betting preview showing home underdog ATS record and Tomlin stats

Week 16 contrarian betting opportunities emerge as the playoff picture takes shape. Home underdogs are 33-48-4 ATS (41%) in 2024, a losing record that scares most bettors away. But context matters. Some home dogs offer genuine value when public perception inflates the favorite’s line. This week features several spots where fading the public could pay … Read more

NFL Week 14 Upset Recap

NFL Week 14 Upset Recap

NFL Week 14 delivered seven underdog wins, and two of them carried playoff implications that will echo for weeks. The Houston Texans beat the Kansas City Chiefs 20-10 as +185 moneyline underdogs, and the Pittsburgh Steelers knocked off the Baltimore Ravens 27-22 as +225 dogs. Both results flipped division races and altered the AFC landscape … Read more