Kenneth Walker III at +850: The Super Bowl MVP the Market Forgot

Infographic showing Kenneth Walker III winning Super Bowl LX MVP at +850 odds, the longest for any MVP winner since Julian Edelman at +1000 in Super Bowl LIII. Walker rushed for 135 yards on 27 carries and became the first running back to win Super Bowl MVP since Terrell Davis in 1998, a 28-year drought.

Part 7 of 7 in the Playoff Underdogs series Kenneth Walker III entered Super Bowl LX as the fourth choice to win MVP. Sam Darnold was the favorite at +115. Drake Maye sat at +230. Jaxon Smith-Njigba drew +500 action. Walker? He was available at +850 at some books, the longest odds for any eventual … Read more

Super Bowl LX: Seahawks Cover -4.5, Snap Five-Year Underdog ATS Streak

Super Bowl LX result infographic showing Seahawks 29, Patriots 13. Seattle covered -4.5 spread, winning by 16. Five-year Super Bowl underdog ATS cover streak snapped. Public backed Seahawks at 60-70%. SB underdogs now 17-8 ATS since 2001.

The Streak Is Over Super Bowl underdogs had covered five straight. Four of the last five won outright. The trend was so dominant that sharp bettors at Circa put 72% of their moneyline dollars on the Patriots, and two seven-figure wagers landed on New England before kickoff. None of it mattered. The Seattle Seahawks dismantled … Read more

Super Bowl LX: 67% of Bets on Seattle, but Sharp Money Tells a Different Story

Super Bowl LX public vs sharp money divergence. 67% of spread bets on Seahawks across DraftKings, Station, Circa. But 72% of moneyline dollars at Circa on Patriots. $1.1M and $2M seven-figure bets on New England. SB underdogs 5-0 ATS last 5, 9-2 when getting 3+ points since 2003. Line stuck at -4.5. 82.5% of ESPN experts pick Seattle.

Two-Thirds of the Public on Seattle. Sportsbooks Want the Patriots. Three days before Super Bowl LX, the betting public and the sharp money are telling two different stories. Across multiple sportsbooks, roughly 67% of spread bets are landing on the Seattle Seahawks. At DraftKings, that number comes with 74% of the spread dollars. Hard Rock … Read more

Super Bowl LX: The Contrarian Case for Patriots +4.5

Super Bowl LX matchup graphic showing Seahawks -4.5 vs Patriots +4.5. Super Bowl underdogs 17-7 ATS since 2001. Public betting 67% on Seattle. Underdog ATS streak 5-0. Line moved from -3.5 to -4.5. Sharp money at Circa 72% on Patriots moneyline. Patriots 60-1 preseason, 10-win turnaround.

The Public Loves Seattle. History Loves the Underdog. Super Bowl LX is five days away, and the betting market has made its position clear. The Seattle Seahawks are 4.5-point favorites over the New England Patriots. At DraftKings, 67% of spread bets and 74% of spread money have landed on Seattle. The public has spoken. But … Read more

Both Super Bowl QBs Are Injured. The Betting Line Doesn’t Care.

Infographic comparing Super Bowl LX quarterback injuries. Drake Maye questionable with right shoulder, Sam Darnold limited with left oblique since January 15. Spread steady at Seahawks -4.5 with 75% public money on Seattle. Underdogs 13-5 ATS in Super Bowl since 2007.

Two Injured QBs, One Unchanged Line Super Bowl LX kicks off in six days, and both starting quarterbacks are banged up. Drake Maye is dealing with a right shoulder injury. Sam Darnold has been managing an oblique issue for nearly three weeks. And the betting line? Seahawks -4.5, exactly where it’s been for over a … Read more

Drake Maye Questionable for Super Bowl LX: Why the Line Hasn’t Moved

Infographic showing Drake Maye listed as questionable for Super Bowl LX with shoulder injury and illness. Spread remains Seahawks -4.5 with no movement. Underdogs 5-0 ATS in last five Super Bowls. Market signals Maye will play despite injury report.

The Patriots Starting QB Is Questionable. Why Hasn’t the Line Budged? Drake Maye missed the Patriots’ final practice in Foxborough on Friday with a shoulder injury and illness. He’s officially listed as questionable for Super Bowl LX. And the betting market? Barely a shrug. The line sits at Seahawks -4.5, roughly where it’s been all … Read more

Super Bowl LX: Public Bets Seahawks, But Underdogs Have Covered Five Straight

Infographic showing Super Bowl LX public betting trends. Public bets on Seahawks -4.5, but underdogs have covered 5 straight Super Bowls. Since 2007, underdogs are 13-5 ATS. Patriots are first-time underdogs since 2002.

The Public Has Made Its Choice Nine days before Super Bowl LX, the betting public has spoken. And once again, they’re siding with the favorite. According to Caesars Sports director of football trading Joey Feazel, public money is flowing toward the Seattle Seahawks on the spread, while sharp bettors have taken a different approach entirely. … Read more

Every Million-Dollar Super Bowl Bet Is on the Patriots: What Sharps See That the Public Doesn’t

Infographic showing both disclosed million-dollar Super Bowl LX bets are on the underdog Patriots. Mattress Mack bet $2M at +200, Circa bettor wagered $1.1M at +188. Sportsbooks expect public on Seahawks -4.5. Super Bowl underdogs are 17-7 ATS since 2001.

The Whales Are Betting the Underdog Every disclosed million-dollar Super Bowl LX wager has landed on the same side: the New England Patriots. While sportsbooks expect recreational bettors to flood in on the favored Seattle Seahawks, the biggest individual bets are going against the grain. For contrarian bettors, the early money trail tells a familiar … Read more

Patriots as Super Bowl Underdogs for First Time Since 2002: The Dynasty Parallel

Infographic comparing Patriots as Super Bowl underdogs in 2002 (plus-14 vs Rams, won 20-17) versus 2026 (plus-4.5 vs Seahawks). Super Bowl underdogs are 17-7 ATS (71%) since 2001, with five straight covers.

The Last Time This Happened The New England Patriots enter Super Bowl LX as 4.5-point underdogs against the Seattle Seahawks. For a franchise that dominated the betting landscape for two decades, that status carries unusual weight. The last time the Patriots were underdogs in the Super Bowl, they were 14-point dogs against the St. Louis … Read more

Second-Year QB Super Bowl History: Drake Maye and the Marino Parallel

Infographic showing second-year QBs are 4-3 in Super Bowl history with Warner, Brady, Roethlisberger, and Wilson winning. Drake Maye at 23 years 162 days is the 2nd youngest starter ever. Super Bowl underdogs are 17-7 ATS (71%) since 2001 with 5 straight covers. Patriots +4.5 vs Seahawks.

The Marino Parallel Drake Maye enters Super Bowl LX carrying a distinction that cuts two ways. At 23 years and 162 days old on February 8, the Patriots quarterback will become the second-youngest starter in Super Bowl history. The only QB younger? Dan Marino, who was 23 years and 127 days old when the Dolphins … Read more