The Week 18 Tank Bowl Paradox The Chiefs and Raiders meet Sunday in what might be the strangest game of the 2025 NFL season. Kansas City is favored by 6 points on the road against a team that needs to lose. That’s not hyperbole. The Raiders (2-14) clinch the #1 overall pick in the 2026 … Read more
The NFL’s Christmas Day slate featured three divisional matchups and two underdog covers. The Vikings won outright as 7.5-point underdogs against the Lions, while the Chiefs covered as 13-point home dogs against the Broncos. For contrarian bettors, it was a profitable holiday. Vikings 23, Lions 10: The Upset of the Day Minnesota entered as +7.5 … Read more
NFL Christmas Day betting offers a historic oddity: the Kansas City Chiefs are 13-point home underdogs against the Denver Broncos. That’s the largest home underdog margin for the franchise since October 1977, when they lost to the Raiders 37-28 en route to a 2-12 season. For a team that made the last three Super Bowls … Read more
The Chiefs dynasty betting lesson was written in Week 16. Kansas City entered the game against Tennessee as 3.5-point road favorites despite being eliminated from the playoffs, missing Patrick Mahomes to a torn ACL, and having lost five of their last six games. The Titans won 26-9. It wasn’t close. How Reputation Inflated the Line … Read more
NFL Week 16 Underdog Results: Steelers, Titans, Panthers Cash NFL Week 16 underdog betting delivered three notable winners on Sunday, headlined by the Steelers’ outright upset of the Lions in Detroit. Contrarian bettors who backed underdogs against public-heavy favorites found value across the board. Here’s a breakdown of the underdog results that mattered most. Steelers … Read more
The Market Has Overreacted to Mahomes’ Torn ACL Patrick Mahomes’ season-ending ACL tear on December 14 sent shockwaves through the NFL world. But savvy bettors should be asking a different question: has the market overcorrected? The Chiefs opened as 10.5-point favorites against the Titans before Mahomes went down. That line has plummeted to Chiefs -3, … Read more
Eight months ago, the Kansas City Chiefs were favorites to complete an unprecedented three-peat. They entered Super Bowl LIX at -1.5 against the Eagles, seeking to become the first team in NFL history to win three consecutive Super Bowls. Instead, Philadelphia dominated them 40-22 in one of the most lopsided championship games ever played. Now … Read more
The Texans upset the Chiefs 20-10 on Sunday Night Football, and bettors who backed Houston cashed in. The Texans closed as 3.5-point underdogs at Arrowhead Stadium against the three-time defending AFC champions. They won outright, paying around +160 on the moneyline. For anyone following fade the public principles, this result fit a familiar pattern. The … Read more