Saturday’s Results Followed the Script Wild Card Saturday delivered exactly what the historical data suggested it might. Both home underdogs covered the spread, and one of them pulled off an outright upset that will be remembered for years. The Panthers (+10.5) lost to the Rams 34-31 but stayed within a field goal despite being the … Read more
Division Champion at Home, Getting Points Against a Skidding Rival The Chicago Bears enter Wild Card Weekend as NFC North champions, hosting their first playoff game since the infamous “Double Doink” loss in 2018. They finished 11-6, won their division for the first time in seven years, and secured the conference’s second seed. Their opponent? … Read more
Saturday’s NFL doubleheader produced something contrarian bettors rarely see: both underdogs won outright. The Texans beat the Chargers 20-16 as +1.5 road dogs. The Ravens crushed the Packers 41-24 as +3 to +4.5 underdogs. Two games, two outright underdog victories, two covers by double digits when you factor in the spread. Combined with Christmas Day’s … Read more
Bears Packers Line Movement: When the Line Flips, Pay Attention The Bears Packers line movement in Week 16 told a story before a single snap was played. Chicago’s 22-16 overtime victory on Saturday night delivered more than just a crucial NFC North win. It delivered a lesson in reading line movement that contrarian bettors should … Read more