The Rarest Playoff Spot Home underdogs in the NFL playoffs are unicorns. The seeding structure ensures division winners host wild card teams, and those division winners are typically favored. You might see two or three home underdogs across an entire postseason. Some years, none at all. But when they appear, home playoff underdogs have been … Read more
The Panthers Are Making History for the Wrong Reasons Carolina finished 8-9. They lost their season finale to Tampa Bay. Their point differential sits at -69, the fourth-worst by any playoff team in NFL history. And yet the Panthers are hosting a playoff game on Saturday against the Los Angeles Rams. The opening line? Panthers … Read more
Seven-Point Underdogs Win Outright The Atlanta Falcons entered Monday Night Football with nothing to play for. Eliminated from the playoffs weeks ago. A 6-9 record. Playing a Rams team that had already clinched a postseason berth and was jockeying for seeding. The betting public saw a mismatch. By game time, over 80% of spread bets … Read more
The Greatest Comeback in Seahawks History Paid Underdog Bettors The Seattle Seahawks pulled off what may be the greatest comeback in franchise history on Thursday Night Football, rallying from a 30-14 fourth-quarter deficit to stun the Los Angeles Rams 38-37 in overtime. For contrarian bettors who backed Seattle as +1.5 home underdogs, the walk-off two-point … Read more
NFL Week 13 was a bloodbath for favorites. Underdogs went 10-5 against the spread, with seven winning outright. Moreover, the carnage started on Thanksgiving and didn’t stop until Monday night. For bettors who follow fade the public principles, this was the kind of week that makes the strategy worth the grind. Public money piled onto … Read more