The Chiefs Were Still Favored. That Was the Problem.

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The Chiefs dynasty betting lesson was written in Week 16. Kansas City entered the game against Tennessee as 3.5-point road favorites despite being eliminated from the playoffs, missing Patrick Mahomes to a torn ACL, and having lost five of their last six games. The Titans won 26-9. It wasn’t close. How Reputation Inflated the Line … Read more

NFL Week 16 Underdog Results: Steelers, Titans, Panthers Cash

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NFL Week 16 Underdog Results: Steelers, Titans, Panthers Cash NFL Week 16 underdog betting delivered three notable winners on Sunday, headlined by the Steelers’ outright upset of the Lions in Detroit. Contrarian bettors who backed underdogs against public-heavy favorites found value across the board. Here’s a breakdown of the underdog results that mattered most. Steelers … Read more

Chiefs Betting Value: Why Kansas City Covers Against Titans Despite Mahomes Injury

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The Market Has Overreacted to Mahomes’ Torn ACL Patrick Mahomes’ season-ending ACL tear on December 14 sent shockwaves through the NFL world. But savvy bettors should be asking a different question: has the market overcorrected? The Chiefs opened as 10.5-point favorites against the Titans before Mahomes went down. That line has plummeted to Chiefs -3, … Read more