Wild Card Road Favorites: 4 Unprecedented vs History

Infographic showing Wild Card Weekend 2026 with unprecedented 4 road favorites. Home underdogs of 4+ points are 9-0 ATS over last 50 years in playoffs. Road favorites of 4+ points are 1-8 ATS over last 54 postseasons. Wild Card underdogs 27-15 ATS since 2017.

An Unprecedented Wild Card Weekend Setup Wild Card Weekend kicks off today with something the NFL playoffs have never seen: four road favorites. The Rams, Packers, Bills, and Texans are all favored to win on the road. For the first time in league history, a No. 2 seed is an underdog to a No. 7 … Read more

NFL 2026 Playoffs: Wild Card Contrarian Angles

Wild Card contrarian analysis infographic showing 67% ATS rate for Wild Card underdogs since 2017. Three home underdogs this weekend: Panthers +10, Bears +1.5, Steelers +3. Four road favorites is unusual for Wild Card round.

Six Games, Six Opportunities Wild Card weekend opens tomorrow with six games spread across three days. The public has already placed their bets. The lines have moved. And somewhere in this weekend’s slate, value exists for those willing to look past the obvious narratives. We’ve spent this week examining historical playoff underdog performance, why public … Read more

Josh Allen 0-4 on Road in Playoffs: Jaguars Undervalued

Wild Card Weekend infographic showing Josh Allen's 0-4 road playoff record vs Jaguars as +1.5 home underdogs. Key stats: Jaguars 8-0 ATS during winning streak, 7-1 at home with best margin of victory in NFL (15.8 ppg), Trevor Lawrence 19 TDs and 1 turnover in last 6 games.

The Jaguars Are Home Underdogs Despite an 8-Game Winning Streak The Jacksonville Jaguars haven’t lost since early November. They’ve won eight straight games. They’ve covered the spread in all eight of those games. They finished the regular season 12-4-1 against the spread, the best mark in franchise history. And they’re underdogs at home in the … Read more

The Jaguars Were on a Five-Game Cover Streak. The Market Still Didn’t Believe.

jaguars-broncos-upset-market-perception

Jacksonville entered Week 16 with the longest active cover streak in the NFL at 5-0 ATS. They had won five straight games outright, outscoring opponents 171-72 during that stretch. Trevor Lawrence was playing the best football of his career with 12 touchdowns and zero interceptions over his last four games. The Jaguars were still 3.5-point … Read more