Conference Championship Public Money: 75%+ on Favorites

Conference Championship public money infographic showing Patriots drawing 75% of bets as 4.5-point road favorites vs Broncos and Seahawks drawing 79% vs Rams as 2.5-point home favorites. Both underdogs have contrarian value with Broncos 9-1 ATS historically in Conference Championships.

The Public Has Picked Its Sides Conference Championship Sunday arrives with the betting public lining up behind the favorites. In the AFC, 75% of spread bets are backing the New England Patriots as 4.5-point road favorites at Denver. In the NFC, nearly 79% of bettors are riding the Seattle Seahawks at -2.5 against the Los … Read more

Mile High Curse: Patriots 0-4 in Denver Playoffs

Infographic showing Patriots 0-4 all-time playoff record in Denver. Current AFC Championship spread Patriots -4.5 road favorites. Sharp money backing Broncos despite 75% public on New England. Broncos defense ranked #2 yards allowed with league-leading 68 sacks.

The Mile High Curse The New England Patriots have won six Super Bowls. They’ve appeared in eleven conference championship games under Robert Kraft’s ownership. The franchise boasts more postseason wins (35) than all but two ownership groups in NFL history. And yet there’s one thing they’ve never accomplished: winning a playoff game in Denver. The … Read more

Broncos Historic Home Underdog: Has Market Overreacted?

Infographic showing Broncos as +5.5 home underdog vs Patriots in AFC Championship, the largest home underdog in Conference Championship history. Line moved 6.5 points after Bo Nix ankle injury vs expert estimate of 3.85 points. Jarrett Stidham starts for Denver.

A Historic Line Movement When Bo Nix fractured his ankle on the second-to-last play of Denver’s overtime victory against Buffalo, the betting market reacted swiftly. The Broncos went from 1.5-point favorites on lookahead lines to 5.5-point underdogs in a matter of hours. That 7-point swing represents one of the most dramatic injury-related line movements in … Read more

Conference Championship Underdogs: Contrarian Angles for Both Games

Conference Championship contrarian preview infographic showing Broncos +5.5 as largest home underdog since 1970 merger and Rams +2.5 vs Seahawks in their third meeting with combined margin of 3 points from regular season games.

Historic Home Underdog Headlines Championship Weekend The Conference Championship round presents a rare betting landscape. In the AFC, the top-seeded Denver Broncos find themselves as the largest home underdog in a conference title game since the 1970 NFL merger. In the NFC, two division rivals meet for the third time this season with the road … Read more