Public Money in Playoffs – Why Favorites Get Overbet

Infographic explaining public betting dynamics in NFL playoffs. 70-80% of tickets on favorites creates underdog value. Sportsbooks shade lines. Result is 61% underdog cover rate. Gold series header identifies Playoff Underdogs series.

The January Betting Surge Something changes in the betting market every January. Millions of casual bettors who ignored NFL spreads all season suddenly want action on the playoffs. They download apps, make deposits, and start placing bets. Most of them back favorites. This isn’t speculation. Sportsbooks track ticket counts and handle percentages. During the regular … Read more

Bills Chasing Patriots in AFC East: Why Public Perception Creates Contrarian Value

Bills betting value infographic showing AFC East standings and ATS record

Bills AFC East betting value has emerged as the Patriots surge to first place. The Buffalo Bills sit at 10-4, chasing New England in one of the most competitive division races in years. Josh Allen just won MVP in February and signed a $330 million extension in March. The public loves backing the reigning league … Read more